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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">geores</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Георесурсы</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Georesources</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">1608-5043</issn><issn pub-type="epub">1608-5078</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Georesursy LLC</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.18599/grs.2024.1.9</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">geores-234</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>СТАТЬИ</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>RESEARCH ARTICLES</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Прогнозирование гидродинамических параметров состояния призабойной зоны скважин с помощью методов машинного обучения</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Prediction of Hydrodynamic Parameters of the State of the Bottomhole Zone of Wells Using Machine Learning Methods</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Соромотин</surname><given-names>А. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Soromotin</surname><given-names>A. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Андрей Витальевич Соромотин – инженер 2-й категории отдела проектирования и мониторинга разработки Северной группы месторождений, филиал</p><p>614015, Пермь, ул. Пермская, д. 3а</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Andrey V. Soromotin – Engineer of the Depertment of Design and Monitoring of North group of fields</p><p>3a, Permskaya st., Perm, 614015</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">s@soromotinav.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Мартюшев</surname><given-names>Д. А.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Martyushev</surname><given-names>D. A.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Дмитрий Александрович Мартюшев – доктор тех. наук, доцент, доцент кафедры Нефтегазовые технологии</p><p>614990, Пермь, пр-т Комсомольский, д. 29</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Dmitriy A. Martyushev – Dr. Sci. (Technical Sciences), Assistant Professor, Department of Oil and Gas Technologies</p><p>29, Komsomolskiy av., Perm, 614990</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">martyushevd@inbox.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-2"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Мелехин</surname><given-names>А. А.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Melekhin</surname><given-names>A. A.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Александр Александрович Мелехин – канд. тех. наук, доцент кафедры Нефтегазовые технологии</p><p>614990, Пермь, пр-т Комсомольский, д. 29</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Alexander A. Melekhin – Cand. Sci. (Technical Sciences), Assistant Professor, Department of Oil and Gas Technologies</p><p>29, Komsomolskiy av., Perm, 614990</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">melehin.sasha@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-2"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>ООО «ЛУКОЙЛ-Инжиниринг» «ПермНИПИнефть» в г. Перми</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>LLC «LUKOIL-Engineering” “PermNIPIneft” in Perm</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff-2"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Пермский национальный исследовательский политехнический университет</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Perm National Research Polytechnic University</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2024</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>06</day><month>06</month><year>2024</year></pub-date><volume>26</volume><issue>1</issue><fpage>109</fpage><lpage>117</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Соромотин А.В., Мартюшев Д.А., Мелехин А.А., 2024</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2024</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Соромотин А.В., Мартюшев Д.А., Мелехин А.А.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Soromotin A.V., Martyushev D.A., Melekhin A.A.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://www.geors.ru/jour/article/view/234">https://www.geors.ru/jour/article/view/234</self-uri><abstract><p>Актуальность разработки методики оперативной оценки призабойной зоны пласта (проницаемости призабойной зоны пласта и скин-фактора) обусловлена в первую очередь экономическими причинами, поскольку существующие подходы к ее определению, основанные на проведении гидродинамических исследований, ведут к недоборам нефти и повышению рисков необеспечения вывода скважины на режим. Современные методы работы с большими данными, например глубокое обучение искусственных нейронных сетей, позволяют осуществлять контроль за состоянием призабойной зоны пласта (ПЗП) скважин без их остановки на гидродинамические исследования, что сократит убытки у предприятий, осуществляющих добычу нефти, с одной стороны, и позволит проводить оперативный анализ для эффективного и своевременного применения технологий интенсификации, повышения нефтеотдачи пласта, с другой. В работе проанализированы существующие методы по определению призабойных характеристик пласта и подходов машинного обучения. Предложена методика для оперативной оценки состояния призабойной зоны пласта: проницаемости ПЗП и скин-фактора – с помощью обучения искусственных нейронных сетей на геологических и эксплуатационных данных и результатах интерпретации гидродинамических исследований на примере терригенных объектов нефтяных месторождений. Представлены результаты тестирования различных архитектур нейронных сетей для прогнозирования проницаемости ПЗП: количества слоев и нейронов в них с выбором наилучшей. Использованы технические приемы для предотвращения переобучения моделей. Предложена авторская методика по оценке скин-фактора скважин с помощью комплексного анализа построенных статистических моделей и моделей обучения искусственных нейронных сетей для решения задачи регрессии.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>The relevance of the development of a methodology for the operational assessment of the bottomhole formation zone (the permeability of the bottom-hole formation zone and the skin factor) is primarily due to economic considerations, since existing approaches to its definition based on hydrodynamic studies lead to shortages and increased risks of failure to ensure the output of the well. In this regard, the use of modern methods of working with big data, such as deep learning of artificial neural networks, will ensure monitoring of the condition of the bottom-hole zone of the well formation without stopping them for hydrodynamic tests, which will reduce losses for oil production enterprises. It will allow for operational analysis for effective and timely application of intensification technologies, enhanced oil recovery. The authors analyzed the existing methods for determining the bottom-hole characteristics of the formation and machine learning approaches in the direction of solving this problem. The article presents a methodology for the operational assessment of the state of the bottom-hole formation zone: the permeability of the near bottomhole zone (NBHZ) and the skin factor using artificial neural network training approaches based on geological, operational data and the results of interpretation of hydrodynamic studies on the example of sandstones of oil fields in the Perm Region. A fully connected neural network was used to predict the NBHZ permeability. The article presents the results of testing various neural network architectures: the number of layers and neurons in layers with the choice of the best one. Some techniques were used to prevent over-training of models. The author’s methodology for assessing the skin factor of wells is proposed using a comprehensive analysis of the constructed statistical models and training models of artificial neural networks to solve the regression problem. In future studies, it is planned to use recurrent and convolutional neural networks to study the dynamic components of the formation of the bottom-hole formation zone and create an integrated approach to solve the problem.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>терригенный коллектор</kwd><kwd>призабойная зона пласта</kwd><kwd>проницаемость</kwd><kwd>скин-фактор</kwd><kwd>машинное обучение</kwd><kwd>нейронная сеть</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>sandstone reservoir</kwd><kwd>bottom-hole formation zone</kwd><kwd>permeability</kwd><kwd>skin factor</kwd><kwd>machine learning</kwd><kwd>neural network</kwd></kwd-group><funding-group><funding-statement xml:lang="ru">Работа выполнена при поддержке Министерства науки и высшего образования Российской Федерации (проект № FSNM-2024-0005).</funding-statement></funding-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Abdulaziz A.M., Ali M.K., Hafad O.F. 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